Sunday, November 9, 2025

Fall Racing Week 11

 Saturday November 8

When I was working at Cypress Bay High School one of my big responsibilities outside the classroom was to be in charge of graduation.  We had, at the time the largest graduating class in the United Stakes with over 1,200 seniors marching across the stage in a ceremony that lasted three hours and change each year.  It took a lot of help from the staff and one of my best gal-pals on staff, who also mentored many of my WISE students was Jennifer "Cookie" Cook.  We've always stayed in touch and nine years ago we met at Gulfstream.  Recently I'd suggested we meet for lunch to catch up in person and Jen suggested a track day so we met at Gulfstream on Saturday.  While I didn't profit money like I did at the Breeders' Cup last weekend, I did hit winners in nine of twenty-six races....that's 35% for those of you without a calculator.....my typical win percentage!  I had handicapped four tracks for the day and the first post in New York was an early one at 11:40 am and it was a second level allowance event going a one turn mile.  The lightly raced filly would test the theory that Beyer speed figures are transferrable across tracks, surfaces, class levels, and in this case DISTANCES.  Having learned, years ago, how to make speed figures and made them I am aware that they are not the be all, end all in handicapping.  So you have to consider other factors.  Based on Beyers alone 'Data would be a daylight winner.  She had two other very strong angles in her favor - she'd "paired" figures in her two recent starts - since coming off a nineteen  month layoff, and those two numbers were BOTH faster than any of the combined 89 figures earned by today's rivals - the Double Beyer Advantage angle.  BUT....she'd never gone a route of ground.  In her two recent starts she'd gone wire-to-wire, but in her maiden win in 2024 she showed the ability to pass horses.  I doubled the bet.  Collect The Data easily got to the front but was hounded by a long shot.  Front runners that are pressured, especially stretching out often can't last.  But you could see that jockey Manny Franco had a ton of horse and was riding confidently.  Opened up turning for home and drew off by a pole for the first winner on the day.

Next up was the opener at Gulfstream.  Jen & her husband had said they would arrive about 12:15 and with a 12:25 post time they should have been able to make the race, but they were a little bit late.  I waited until the horses approached the gate and then went to the rail to watch Longbranch Lou go two turns on the synthetic surface in a starter optional claiming event.  I don't have the statistics to support the theory, but I've always felt that jockey Miguel Vasquez is the best local rider on the Tapeta and he was on board 'Lou who'd run well on this surface against better.  Was pounded down to a short price as they went into the gate.  Settled comfortably near the back until they approached the far turn.  Moved up between rivals, took command at the 16th pole and edged clear.  Two-for-two!

The second at Laurel was a very modest $16K maiden event where the last out Beyers were S-L-O-W indeed.  But Sticktothesystem was new to the Brittany Russell barn and dropping in class.  Quickly cleared the field and went wire to wire without ever being threatened.....I'm off to a 3-for-3 start!

Not saying Jen & Mike were bad luck, but they arrived at this point in time and I quickly lost three in a row :O  But the first stakes event of the day was coming up at Aqueduct, the Pumpkin Pie at 7f for older fillies & mares.  Weigh the Risks had started her career on turf but had blossomed when moving to the main track and at this distance.  Had earned a huge 101 BSF at Saratoga last time out in a conditioned allowance event.  Because she was coming off a layoff and had won like that before I doubled the bet.  Stalked the leaders through the turn, swept to the front and held the challengers off late for my fourth winner on the day.

We were finishing lunch together - and the Cook's generously bought my lunch - as my pick at Churchill was well behind.  As we headed out to our box seats on the finish line, my pick in the 4gh, Monster was a short priced favorite.  I'd noted that if he took a lot of money I'd consider upping the wager.  So I doubled the bet on the 2yo.  Cleared quickly and was a runaway winner.

I came right back in the third at Churchill in a restricted MSW race where Bolt Dior was the pick.  I found it very interesting that the barn was based at Presque Isle in Erie, where they have a synthetic track and they'd shipped the filly to Keeneland.  She was a sharp 2nd at 11/1 against strong rivals.  I tripled the bet on her.  Stalked the leaders, edged to the front at the top of the lane.  Battled and gradually inched clear late!  Off to a 6-for-9 start and it seems like it's going to be a great day!

Balboa



Jen

Sunday
Courting

My Miss Mo





Social Media this week.....

On my first week back home I had several different online friends that I interacted with.  One former CBHS WISE student, Jessica and I often "see" each other on Facebook but it's not often that she posts or reacts regularly to my postings.  She's got two kids and when she posted a photo of her family I reacted to how quickly they've grown....and she replied.

My Florida-Derby gal-pal, country-western DJ, and daughter of my great friend Jeff Nelson, Chloe posted two photos on her Instagram account (we're friends on this platform as well as on FB and thru text messages0 and she reacted to my comments.


If you asked me who my favorite former student from all my years of teaching was, three names would immediately pop to mind and I'd have a hard time separating the three of them.  I keep in very close contact with two of them, Kimmy & Mandy, but I don't hear from Tati very often.  We recently connected on Instagram as well as on FB and when she posted a sweet photo of her, her husband and their little boy I commented.  Normally when I reach out and/or comment on her posts I add a "miss you" as I do miss seeing and chatting with her.  But what touched me on this occasion was I did NOT add that phrase, but Tati didn't just give me a heart for liking the comment or just reply, but she wrote back, "miss you always."  How sweet is my girl?

In the most unexpected social media exchange of the week, former weekend anchor and gal-pal Karli Barnett reached out to me on several posts.  Since moving to Atlanta and becoming an anchor at one of their news stations - and winning her first Emmy by the way, go Karli! - she often doesn't get a chance to see my posts and/or react to them until days or weeks later.  This week she reacted to several things I'd sent her about my travels and the Breeders' Cup.  And ironically while watching TV on Friday I happened to open FB and she was live like she used to be regularly.  We exchanged greetings :)



I sent a pic of me at the races to gal-pal Teri, the former weekend morning news anchor and she nearly immediately reacted to it.

My most regular social media pal, Lauren Pastrana also interacted with several things I sent her this week.  Always appreciate that she takes the time to acknowledge our friendship.



Finally, one last Jen thought.  It was great to see her & her husband Mike and to catch up.  As I said to her on Saturday, it was interesting to me that we interacted like we'd just seen each other last week.  It's the beauty of social media.  And I did remark to her about that, saying there wasn't any way either of us would pick up the phone and call each other or, as in the old days write each other a letter.  But through FB and it's messaging system we are still in contact frequently keeping our friendship alive and well!



Tuesday, November 4, 2025

Breeders' Cup Weekend

 October 29 - Nov 2

On Wednesday afternoon, October 31, Brad and I left Orlando International on a direct flight to San Diego for an extended, five-day weekend at the 2025 Breeders' Cup hosted at Del Mar.  You can check out the entire "Breeders' Cup Virtual Scrapbook" (with 80 some photos) here:

Breeders' Cup Scrapbook

It was quite the whirlwind weekend as before we left, Brad went with us to check out a condo in the Orlando area near Disney Springs that had just come on the market.  We loved it, he loved it.  We put in an offer and while Brad and I were at the gate, the offer was accepted!  The flight was smooth and we got to our ocean-side hotel in Carlsbad within an hour of landing in San Diego.  Topped off the big day with drinks by the fire pit as we celebrated the upcoming big weekend of racing and the new 2nd home/vacation home in Orlando, while enjoying the crisp lower 60's weather.




Thursday October 30

As part of our package through "Breeders' Cup Experiences" which got us our seats, we had passes to a VIP Breeders' Cup Breakfast.  It was quite the spread and it was in a pavilion that overlooked the track as the horses went through their final workouts for the big two days of championship racing.  We posed for several photos and enjoyed the excitement of the pre-Breeders' Cup Day's activities.  And we were able to visit the Breeders' Cup Merchandise store and get everything we wanted so we would not be carrying it around on a racing day.  Spent the afternoon on a scenic drive down to San Diego to the Natural History Museum, then came back for dinner and to go through the Friday races with Brad and his AI / ChatGP.

View from our balcony - wow
Yes.....we are VIP guests!
On the BC Breakfast Pavilion overlooking the track
Checking out our seats with a clear view of the finish line!
Sunset on the Pacific from our balcony

Friday October 31

The first post on "Future Stars Friday" was at 11:30am so Brad and I headed out about 9:30 were in our "preferred parking" spot in plenty of time.  Posed for the "required" photo op in front of the big Breeders' Cup display and made our way to our seats.  The first five races of the day were not Breeders' Cup events, and I only had bets in four of them.  The one I passed Brad checked out what "our girl, Ms. Chat (the AI)" had to say...made a bet and won!  Went winless in the first set of BC races before it was time for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile - the highlight of the day and my BEST BET of the Day.  I liked Todd Pletcher's unbeaten colt, Ted Noffey who had dominated Keeneland's Grade 1 Breeders' Futurity.  I thought Bob Baffert's $3 Million colt Brant would set the pace with 'Ted on his hip.  Then I anticipated a classic stretch duel before my pick would draw away.  Went JUST as scripted for the big score.  Hoping that he winters, as most Pletcher runners do, at Gulfstream this winter and I can see him prep for the Kentucky Derby.  And to top it off, we won the day's finale, the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf.  I considered upping the bet, but the wide post position #14 made me hold firm on the minimum play.  Finished the day with a great dinner at a nice restaurant sitting right on the ocean.  Went 2-for-4 in the Breeders' Cup races!

The official program for Future Stars Friday
Father-Son day at the Breeders' Cup
Ted Noffey caps a perfect 2yo season and is the early favorite for the Kentucky Derby
That's a "prime time" winning ticket!
Cap the day with two wins in a row
Two happy race fans
Dinner overlooking the ocean

Saturday November 1

Saturday's first race had a 10:30 am post time so we left an hour earlier and again were in our preferred parking area in plenty of time.  Took the iconic photo with the BC statue and then got ready for the racing to begin.  We opted to watch the first race from our seats, since it was on the turf and then the second one from the rail to get an "up close & personal" view of racing!  Unlike yesterday when we had to wait for quite a while to cash a ticket, Suchet proved MUCH the best on the turf in an entry level allowance.  In the second, I told Brad that if Modus Bestia ran back to his last he would win clearly - the problem was he was coming out of his maiden win.  BUT he'd earned a lifetime best figure with top national jockey Flavian Prat on board, and he was riding again today.  Right to the front and never looked back!  The third race was the first graded event, the Grade 3 Goldikova on the turf.  Special Wan's LAST THREE Beyer figures topped 184 of the combined lifetime 186 numbers posted by her rivals.  I've always said - on big days like the Derby or the Breeders' Cup - that the best bets are NOT always in the featured events.  I went "prime time" and he was the easiest kind of winner.  How he paid $5.20 as such an obvious choice, allowing me to cash for over $50 is beyond me.  But hey, we're 3-for-3 to start the day.

The signature photo at the Breeders' Cup
Championship Saturday's official program
This photo is from my camera as we stood along the rail
Enjoying the up close view of racing
The easiest kind of winner
That's a prime-time ticket and we're 3-for-3!

It was time for the Breeders' Cup races - nine big Grade 1 events in a row.  First was the Filly & Mare Sprint and my top choice, and second choice both scratched.  Opted into what turned out to be the favorite and she led to deep stretch before weakening to be 2nd.  Had a 20/1 longshot in the turf sprint and he was right there to the turn, maybe......but no.  Faded well back.  Next up was the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Sprint.  Last year Bentornato and Straight No Chaser had finished 1-2 last year but when 'Chaser faded to third in his prep as the favorite while 'Ben romped easily I went with the latter.  They dueled to the top of the lane and then Bentornato drew off as much the best.  Was especially happy for the colt and his connections as he'd started his career at Gulfstream!  The Distaff was next with my filly, Seismic Beauty going off favored.  But the front running gal stumbled out of the gate losing all chance.  3yo filly Minnie Hauk took the lead against the boys in the turf turning for home and I thought we had our next winner, but she was caught late.  In the Classic the favorite, and one of the most likely winners of the weekend, Kentucky Derby winner Sovereignty, scratched with a fever.  I think my pick, Fierceness would have won with a better trip but he was trapped on the rail and couldn't get out in time to make his big finish.

The first Breeders' Cup winner on Saturday
Toasting to a great weekend and yet another winner

The tenth was the Breeders' Cup Mile on the turf.  I told Brad that I thought, on paper it was an evenly matched field.  But when I had watched the post position draw show on Monday a European handicapper had said that Notable Speech - who had been third last year - was only 90% at his best that day and that this year we'd see the "real Notable Speech" - he went on to say he expected a huge effort out of him.  I told Brad if that WAS the case he would win.  Saved all the ground into the lane, shot through an opening and burst into the clear to draw off.  Went off at a generous 5/2 and we cashed for nearly $40!  The 11th was my BET of the Weekend with Bob Baffert's Nysos.  We went down to the rail  and chatted with another fan and we all agreed he looked tough in this spot.  His stablemate, last year's two-year-old champion Citizen Bull blazed the way to the far turn in insanely fast fractions and I said to Brad, "that's way to fast, he'll never last."  Nysos ranged up turning for home and looked ready to roll by but 'Bull was not having it.  An EPIC stretch duel ended with a "too close to call" photo finish.  Watching the replays several times I wasn't sure.  Finally they put up our number!  Cashed for over $50.  With only one bet left we went inside and I cashed with "my girl" Cheryl.  Friday we'd tried so many tellers looking for the "right one" with the magic touch.  But we started today with Cheryl and after we hit three in a row I told her we'd be getting in a lot of steps because she was smoking hot and we'd be back to bet with her every time.  What was interesting about cashing that last ticket was we were right behind FanDuel TV host Todd Schrump and he had a stack of tickets.  They had to call behind the scenes for them to bring more money, over $28,000!  When I stepped up and Cheryl thanked us for being so loyal the number was still on the machine.  I asked if any of that was mine with a big smile.  And she chuckled and said, unfortunately no, but look how much had been bet to cash for that amount - over $5,000 - so they basically got 3/1 odds on their money.  What too rich for my blood!

Notable Speech runs to the predictions about his talent
Nysos WINS the epic stretch battle
That's the BET of the Weekend right there
Posing with one of the many winning tickets my "hot girl" Cheryl provided

Lost the finale - pressed the leader to the far turn in the 11f Filly & Mare Turf and I said to Brad, "if she can get the distance, we'll win."  Led to the 16th pole before weakening to be 2nd.  But for the day cashed an amazing 6-of-12 to top an amazing weekend of racing.  Topped the day with another great dinner just north of our resort.  Loved, absolutely loved have five days together with my boy Brad.  Just the best....and for him to have taken such an interest in racing, and come to understand it through the Chat GP was so rewarding.  Made money for the weekend with a big winning percentage.  After dinner Brad asked "Ms. Chat" to sum up the weekend, and again she was spot on.  What a great GREAT adventure!

A final fabulous meal
Count 'em up Webby - that's a lot of winner's over two days of the best against the best
An AMAZZING 6-WIN From 12 picks on Saturday
Those are big numbers on any weekend, much less the Breeders' Cup - yay ME!
Ms. Chat sums up the weekend poetically
THE BEST Father-Son Extended Weekend!


Breeders' Cup 2025 Highlights



Social Media this week......

While we were out of town I didn't have much contact with my online pals, but when we bought the condo in Orlando I did reach out to my most favorite girls.  Chloe replied and welcomed us as her new neighbor and Kimmy - who I'd told previously that we were looking was also happy for us


Teri Hornstein was very excited when we found "the one" and was amazed we were able to confirm the purchase so quickly.

Had two interactions with gal-pal Lauren - first in regards to the condo and she sent her congrats, much appreciated.  And when she posted a Halloween photo I commented and she "liked it."