Sunday, April 23, 2023

Californian Day at Santa Anita

 Week of April 19 - 22


Enjoying Keeneland Racing With The Boys A Couple Years Ago

Without a lot on my plate - except for two medical procedures (yikes - got a big chunk of my ear hacked off on Tuesday and then my eye injection on Wednesday) - I decided I'd play the races at Keeneland during the week leading up to Saturday's big day of racing, highlighted by the stakes action out west at Santa Anita.

Wednesday
The week started off with a two-win day on Wednesday.  It was interesting to me, and oh-so-typical that I lost the first race with a Wesley Ward 2yo because prior to that race ALL of his 2yo had won.  Of course the one I bet, ran 2nd.  Left for the eye appointment and upon returning home got to see Chad Brown's Up And Down win a one-mile turf maiden special event and then later in the day Film Star win a non-winners of two lifetime claiming event for hot trainer Brad Cox.



Thursday
Today brought a big upset early in the day but I couldn't capitalize on the winnings throughout the remainder of the day.  One of the most exciting races of the weekend brought my first winner home.  It was another 2yo race and Wesley Ward's American Rascal had superb bloodlines, being the first 2yo to race for champion Lady Aurelia (who'd been a sensational, stakes winning sprinter for Ward) out of the champion Curlin.  So this guy could be any kind, especially as the distances stretch out.  Normally Ward juveniles explode out of the gate and run the field off their feet.  'Rascal broke sharply to the front but was quickly outrun into the turn.  Jockey Joel Rosario sat patiently and when they turned for home he let the colt go.  OH MY, he just blew by and drew off by nearly a pole in a dazzling display of talent.  This one could be really special.

In the very next race I had my "UPSET SPECIAL" of the week.  Ocean City looked like the lone speed and jockey Joel Rosario is a master on the front end of slowing down the pace and saving something for the end.  Right to the front and wired the field at a big 8/1 price.  I thought for sure I'd have a winning day but couldn't bring home any more winners on the afternoon.


Friday
Only a single win today and that wasn't a definitive selection.  Ran fifth in the second when I was never really in it.  In the third I had the prohibitive 3/5 choice - bold move on the turn but could never get by, second.  Was clear into the stretch at 5/1 in a turf sprint in the fifth, then faded to eighth.  Went back and forth about betting Appeal Denied in the sixth, a starter allowance.  Was his last race big speed figure an aberration or the "new him?"  He was taking a lot of money so I went in on him and he was able to prevail in a close finish at 8/5.  But hey, at least it's a win.  Fourth at 2/1, 6th at 2/1 and then I had the 8/5 favorite in the Grade 3 Doubledogdare with Interstate Daydream.  Mid-pack all the way around, never made a threatening move.  And closed out the day with another second as the 4/5 favorite.  NOT the kind of day I'd thought I'd have for sure.  Then that night we went to the Florida Panthers Stanley Cup playoff game.  We'd beaten the #1 seed Boston Bruins in Boston on Wednesday to take command of the series and in front of the home fans I thought we'd come out on fire.  Lackluster all night and were never in it.



Saturday:  Californian Stakes Day
It looked like a BIG day from the Sunrise Simulcast Center with picks from Keeneland, Laurel, Oaklawn, and Santa Anita.  But then at the Panthers game on Friday I saw on social media that the Maryland Jockey Club had cancelled racing for the weekend after a horse had to be put down as they wanted to be ultra-cautious and make sure the track surface was safe.  Boggles my mind that after hundreds of horses had worked and raced on it since racing returned to Laurel months ago, a single accident causes a complete shut-down.  BUT, I still had a full day's worth of racing to fill my day.  And so my delayed start to racing wasn't until the second at Oaklawn.  I had the 3/1 third choice who swept to a clear lead turning for home, looked home free at the 16th pole and then was nailed in the final strides to be second.  That was the start of a SIX race skid that lasted for the next hour and a half where I ran 2nd at even money (after leaving the gate dead last in Keeneland's fifth) and 6th at even money.  Also had a 3rd at even money at Oaklawn to complete the "highlights" of the early part of the day.  But in the midst of this I said to myself, hang in there.....we've seen this before.  Keep firing, you KNOW you'll get your share - the day COULD turn around.  In the sixth at Keeneland it was a Maiden Special for three-year-olds going six and a half furlongs.  In the early DRF odds Brad Cox's first time starter Class Actor was listed at 15/1.  I didn't expect him to be the favorite, but also didn't think he'd be double digit odds.  The field was less than formidable and with Cox winning at a big 42% at the meet I thought it was a good place to take a shot.  Class Actor broke sharply and was part of the early pace duel right from the start.  Into the lane he disposed of his rival and got clear with a sixteenth to go.  Here came the closers.....but he held on.  And the best news, he left the gate at nearly 4/1 odds so with my double investment on board I was now 1-for-7 and nearly even for the day.  WHOOOO HOOOO.

Right back in my next pick, the opener from Santa Anita which was a 2nd level turf allowance.  Warren's Candy Girl was a closer who had a lot of 2nd and 3rd place finishes to go with a smattering of wins.  And most of her best work had been done in state-bred events.  But, 67 of the 69 Beyer figures owned by the rest of the field would fail to beat her LAST THREE Beyers.  I was in for the minimum with top turf rider Umberto Rispoli on board.  Trailed into the lane and was so wide that he horse wasn't even in the TV screen at the furlong pole.  Late surge.....PHOTO FINISH!

Yes, that's mean in front for the second win in a row!  Keeneland's seventh saw Socially Selective as the "obvious" choice.  It was a 2-lifetime allowance for 3yo so anything could happen, but Bill Mott's filly had won at first asking at Saratoga, and only the most talented of Mott runners do that.  Came back and was a best-of-the-rest 2nd in Oaklawn's Purple Martin Stakes last time out.  She'd "paired" Beyer figures and the filly she'd chased home in the Purple Martin was already a 3x winner at the time AND came back to win the Grade 3 Beaumont here last weekend.  BIG TIME....in hand through the turn, made her move to the leader....and couldn't get by as the 2/5 choice.  Missed in the Grade 2 Elkhorn when highly regarded Howe Street faded before I picked up another price win - this one at Oaklawn where Kantex won an entry level allowance at 7/2 and I cashed for almost $25.

After two more misses it was time for the first of the stakes at Oaklawn and Merlazza looked really good in the Valley of the Vapors stakes.  Joel Rosario was on board the favorite who was in between rivals and behind a wall of horses from the very beginning of the two-turn mile.  But Rosario never panicked...waited, waited, and finally with a 16th of a mile to go to the first finish line he angled out for run.  Merlazza exploded and blew by to win going away for my first stakes winner on the day.

Beer Can Man in the 10th at Keeneland was 50/1 in the early DRF odds, left the gate at 2/1 and ran fifth.  Those odds....   The fifth at Santa Anita was the Grade 3 Kona Gold, a six and a half furlong sprint and multiple stakes winner Brickyard Ride looked to defend his title by going wire-to-wire.  I was a bit concerned that in his seasonal debut he'd coughed up a clear lead and that he was getting older.  Didn't help that there was at least one other "need to lead" type in the field also.  BUT, that last out loss had been on the turf, down the hillside so I was willing to forgive that.  And he was CLEARLY the fastest early, I had no doubt he'd run well and be in front turning for home.  It was that extra 16th of a mile that was more of a concern.  Burst to the front, clear into the stretch, got challenged but dug deep and held the rivals safe as he scored.

Todd Pletcher's highly regarded Charge It disappointed for the second straight time - this one in the Grade 2 Oaklawn Handicap when a distant fifth at 8/5.  But I hit a nice one in the sixth at Santa Anita.  I have long loved to play the Santa Anita hillside course which features the only right hand turn in North American racing.  It's a unique trip and I've had a lot of luck playing runners who've demonstrated an ability to run well going down the hill.  So today, in a second level event down the hill I looked to Unbridled Mary as my top choice.  First, she got Rispoli in the irons which made me comfortable.  More importantly she'd been down the hill three times.  A win, a just-miss 2nd and a toss when in a conditioned allowance won by Horse-for-the-Course / stakes winner Connie Swinger.  She looked to come running from just off the pace.  The logical choice had better numbers but had run poorly at this level and distance last time out.  'Mary was off slowly, but quickly was third as they went halfway down the hill.  Bent to the right and then back across the course to the left found her with room to run.   Behind horses into the lane, she got clear at the 16th pole, but it looked too late.  BIG SURGE.....PHOTO FINISH!

YES, that's me in front and at a generous $9.80 price which meant I cashed for almost $50.  WELL DONE Mr. Mark.  After running third in the Bath House at Oaklawn at 8/5 I had one final race, my BEST Bet of the Day late on the Santa Anita card, the Grade 2 Californian going nine furlongs.  With the gap between races I joined Kim in the living room to watch a TV show.  As the show ended it was about three minutes to post time.  I flipped channels and told her that "everyone" thought Defunded for trainer Bob Baffert would be very, VERY difficult to beat as he was the one and only front runner.  As they loaded into the gate I told Kim that we should expect him to clear immediately and just lead the parade around the track.  Just as the gates were ready to spring he rocked back and lifted his front feet off the ground, and the gates opened as he spotted the field four or five lengths and was dead last.  That is almost ALWAYS the kiss of death for a front runner.  But leading jockey Juan Hernandez was very smart.  He patiently let the colt get into his own rhythm and was about six lengths off, running comfortably in the clear down the backstretch.  We'll find out, I thought, as the field hit the far turn.  Hernandez asked and the response was immediate.  I was thinking that the way he was running and the shape of the race was like a morning work where a horse is being taught to rate off the lead.  He swooped up four wide, got to the front runners turning for home and immediately left them behind as he drew clear to win as much, MUCH the best!

After that 0-for-6 start I finished the day 7-for-14 and made a clear profit on the day.  So proud of my self to have the confidence and discipline to stick with the program!

Wrapped up the weekend with Game 4 of the Stanley Cup playoffs.  To be fair, I'd said to Kim before Game 3 started and again to my son Jeff as we left to go to the game, I truly was trying to just soak in the playoffs and appreciate being IN the post-season because in January we were nearly certain not to get in.  But we had a great run to clinch a playoff spot, so I was thankful we made the playoffs.  With that said I really thought we'd play exceptional today.  And the first ten minutes we were clearly the best team and were outshooting them 10-0 while dominating play.  Then a terrible call led to a power play for Boston.  Our goalie made two great saves and the puck was underneath his legs.  A Boston player swooped in and jabbed the puck and goalie.  The official standing on top of the net looking down at the play blew his whistle, waved "NO GOAL" as the puck trickled in.  Then all four officials huddled together and decided in spite of him having the best view of it, he shouldn't have blown the whistle and counted the goal.  That was basically the end of it.  We rallied to close to 2-1, but gave up a quick goal.  Rallied again to get to 3-2 but again, bad penalties and less than stellar play by the goalie led to yet another loss.  STILL....great to be at a playoff game.



Social Media this week.....
It was a pretty big week with my social media pals this week, which I always enjoy.  I exchanged comments with weather girl Jennifer from Palm Beach and I was impressed that after we "talked" last week and I reminded her that my real name was "Mark" - to which she recalled "meeting me," that this week she called me by my name despite it being on Twitter where I have the "mallan" handle.


Interacted with CBS-4 Evening anchor Lauren Pastrana after she was back on the desk in "Panther Pink" and did a story on our playoff 'Cats.

Cutie Coach Kelly from Oasis, who I've stayed in touch with through social media posted some pics this week and when I noted how adorable she looked, she responded.

Amber was in my first group of WISE students back at Cypress Bay HS and we've kept in touch not only through Facebook but exchanging of Christmas cards every year.  She now has two daughters and this week she posted about her oldest going hiking with her for the first time while walking on her own.  I made note of that and she "liked" my comment.

Former CBS-4 weekend anchor and good social media gal-pal Karli has moved to the Atlanta area, which you would now if you follow my posts, but we've stayed in contact via the platform and private messages.  She'd mentioned that I should check out her work on YouTube and so I finally got around to doing so this week.  She's such an excellent reporter and her pretty smile & good looks make it quite an enjoyable experience to follow the news.  So I reached out to her and told her I'd watched - and she replied back to me via a private message.

Gal-pal Chloe was off for a wedding with some of her cute friends and posted several adorable pics, so I had to tell her how cute she looked....and she replied, appreciating that I had noticed her.

Another exchange with Lauren Pastrana after she did some work in the community and I commented.

Former Cypress Bay counselor and good friend, fellow Gator-fan Mishelle has turned her life around since getting divorced and finding a new man.  She's been out a lot and it's obvious that she's so happy and enjoying wearing cute outfits and having fun again.  So I complimented her and she replied.  She's a regular "follower" on our trips and my social media posts.

On "Earth Day" Karli Barnett posted some photos she'd taken, and they were amazing shots.  Once, she'd remarked about MY pictures from Alaska & Antarctica that she thought I should shoot photos for National Geographic, so I returned the favor....which drew a reply from my gal-pal.

Hottie handicapper, Maggie Wolfendale, who's married to a NY-based trainer posed a question on Twitter about flying when the person in front of you puts their seat all the way back.  So I replied and she almost immediately wrote back to me - cool :)

Finally on Saturday evening Karli held her usual Facebook LIVE chat.  It was subtle, but FOR ME it seemed obvious that when Karli saw my comments and she interacted/replied to me it was a little more "friendly" and it meant a lot to me that it seems she enjoys our friendship.  Our first exchange came in response to "What's everyone doing this weekend" and she noted that going to the Panthers game should be fun.  And when I complimented her on how she looked - she always looks good, but this evening she looked particularly cute - she seemed genuinely appreciative.  Later in the conversation it came up about moving and her move, so I commented about how many boxes you seem to fill up after you think you're done packing.  And then in response to throwing things out I noted how when you do you always "need" that soon thereafter.  She chuckled at that and replied back to me.  Finally towards the end of the conversation the topic turned to being passionate about something in your life, so I noted to her that she knows I am passionate about traveling and she then told the audience that I have had the best adventures and have been "everywhere."  Then she continued by saying how much she appreciates the photos and videos I send her.  All of this was really cool, but maybe the highlight of the chat came for me when I was grabbing screen shots re-watching the chat.  I had gone in and out of the chat while watching the races and I missed a part of the conversation when one guy posted about his passion for taking pictures and Karli replied she too liked taking photos.  But what caught my attention was when, without me being in the conversation she said on air, "I know Mark has taken some photos and blown them up for display and I like to do that or put them in a book."  Now THAT was cool :)  My girl Karli!









Sunday, April 16, 2023

Jenny Wiley Weekend

 April 15

We are back from our adventure to the Netherlands and had an amazing time.  Check out our trip by clicking HERE.  And, just a quick note.....nothing's ever easy, sigh.  Landed in Atlanta after having to get up at 3 am for a 4 am departure from the ship with a smooth trans-Atlantic flight only to discover record rainfall (six months of rain in three hours) had closed Fort Lauderdale International airport.  No alternative airports had flights so we rented a car and drove the nearly ten hours home.  NOT how we'd seen the day going, but we're home.

Because of the LONG trip home I played the races from the "Sunrise Simulcast Center" on Saturday.  In the very first race on the selection sheet, the opener from Keeneland I scored with Oglethorpe in a maiden special weight sprint.  He tracked the dueling longshots into the turn, engaged the 10/1 leader in the stretch and edged clear late.

The first win at Laurel  came in the very next race on my sheet, the third from Maryland.  It was a restricted non-winners of two lifetime sprint and while O Shaughesey didn't look all that good on his own merits, he was the lone runner in the field who had NEVER seen restricted company.  Was allowed to go off as the second choice and moved to the leaders on the turn.  Dueled to the 16th pole and then drew off and I'm 2-for-2 on the day!

Two seconds and a third before the sixth at Laurel, a MSW turf route.  At this time of the year, in turf events often the edge goes to runners who are shipping up from Florida as there's been no grass racing in any of the racing districts other than Gulfstream, the Fair Grounds and in Southern California.  And so the fact that the lightly raced Bassino had run three times on the Tampa turf, and run well was a big edge for him.  When he was taking A LOT of money I upped the bet on him.  Tracked in third / fourth into the turn, eased up to collar the leaders and drew off through the lane as easily best.

After two misses I got a nice score on Bill Mott's first time starter Scylla.  That he'd worked so sharply was unusual for a Mott firster and that generally means - as does when a Mott maiden runs well in one of their first two starts - that they are running on talent.  I was encouraged when Mott was interviewed before the race and had high price for this one.  Drew off like a really talented runner who will only get better as the distances get longer.  One to watch in stakes action this summer.

After five misses I got my first stakes win in the Grade 3 Lexington at Keeneland, the last of the Derby preps, though really only one horse in the field had any chance of making the Derby field.  I liked instead Brad Cox's First Mission.  The Godolphin colt got my money, and a double bet at that, largely based by interpreting the DRF analysis.  Way back when I used to play the races on Sunday by simply analyzing the online handicapping selections and I became (I think) pretty good at reading between the lines.  So when Hersch said, "......might go off as an underlay going from the maiden ranks to stakes, but if he's as good as he might be, even that price could wind up looking right in retrospect...."  On the far turn he was in fourth and it looked like jockey Luis Saez was having to push him along.  He was chasing a talented Bob Baffert runner who'd been loose on an easy lead and as they turned for home he looked to have little chance to catch the front runner.  But the rail opened up and instead of moving wide and losing valuable ground Saez shot the colt up the inside and caught the leader.  They dueled and it looked like he couldn't get by but in the final fifty yards he edged clear for the win at a nice $6 and change price and I cashed for nearly fifty dollars with my triple investment.  WHOOO HOOOO.

Came right back in the Laurel finale, on the turf again.  Two of the MSW runners looked clearly better than all the rest.  Shug McGaughey's third time starter Coast Along had "paired" figures and looked good, but for me Blame D Rule Maker had multiple angles that made him a solid choice.  First, he was making his third start off a layoff and that's often a horse's best effort.  Second,  off the layoff two back he'd tried two turns and the turf for the first time and had seen his Beyer figure explode.  Finally, and for me the key angle, he'd been fourth - a well beaten fourth - last time out at Gulfstream.  But the winner that day was the very talented Carl Spackler who'd been 1/5 and won for fun....and was the morning line favorite for last weekend's Grade 3 Transylvania at Keeneland despite making his first try against winners.  He'd scratched that day, but still he's very good.  Thought I was in trouble when Coast Along did just that, cruising on a loose lead setting moderate fractions.  But on the turn 'Blame was asked to run and he wore down the leader in midstretch and was up in the shadow of the wire as a nice priced 3/1 winner, enabling me to cash for another $40.

Finished the day in the Grade 1 Jenny Wiley.  To be honest, I'd never thought that Chad Brown's In Italian was as good as she had been hyped to be last year.  But she was a multiple Gr 1 winner, had been a just-miss 2nd in the Gr 1 BC F&M Turf, had three of the four triple digit Beyers on the page - IN HER LAST THREE STARTS......and looked loose on the lead.  In retrospect I should have gone "all in" on her because she was the easiest of winners going wire-to-wire without ever being threatened.

Two stakes at Oaklawn saw me just miss but because of the TwinSpires "Bet Back" promotion I "cashed" tickets in both to end up a winner on the day.

Social Media this week......

It was a much active social media week this week as we finished our trip.  Jennifer Correa had been the weekend weather girl at CBS-4 and became close girlfriends with my gal-pal Karli Barnett.  And in fact she'd been on Karli's Saturday night FB chats a couple of times.  Jen moved to West Palm Beach and I still follow her, so I'd commented on a post of hers, to which she wrote back to me noting that I was in had said I was in Belgium.  Because she took the time to write me and had used my Twitter handle I decided to remind her that we had "already met" - and she replied to that in a way that indicated to me at least that she did indeed "know me" :)


Karli Barnett and I had multiple interactions this week.  When I'd wished her a "Happy Easter from Belgium" she asked me to have a Belgian waffle for her :)  So I replied with a photo of me with my Belgian waffle and captioned it, "this one's for my girl Karli."  That exchange had been in FB messenger.  We also exchanged messages on Twitter and again on FB about her Easter and she answered my question about getting a chocolate bunny :)  I'd sent her several pics from the first part of our trip and she noted that they were great photos.  In the past Karli has always seemed legitimately grateful when I share photos from our trips.


After our long drive home I'd sent a text to gal-pal Kimmy to let her know we were home and to tell her about the adventure - she texted me right back. :)

The exchange with gal-pal Shasha had actually happened last week, but it wasn't until this week that I got around to posting this picture.  She'd commented about our Florida Derby Day pics and I asked her to join us the next year.  I know Sha and she'll love getting all dressed up in a cute dress that shows off her figure with a big fancy hat.  She replied she'd like that and I told her "it was a date!"

Katie Engleson is the new Florida Panther sideline reporter and each home game the broadcast team picks a player to compete for the "Light The Lamp" trophy at years' end.  With the end of the season this week she won the trophy in her "rookie season" and I congratulated her - and got a response.

Lauren Pastrana took several days to respond, but she did to my greeting from the Netherlands.  Interesting that I don't see her as often on the evening news these days.  Hmmmm.  After "losing" Karli I'd be most unhappy if Lauren also left.

Saturday, after the races Karli hosted a FB chat from her new Atlanta studios.  First she noted that she'd seen my photos and had tried to reply to me, but said - on air - how good the pics were and that she appreciated them.  Then I noted, as someone in the chat talked about all the rain here, that that rain had caused us to have to drive from Atlanta to get home.  Karli, such a cutie said I must mean I had to drive from Atlanta, not from the Netherlands.  Quackity quack Karli.  So I replied, "yes it was from Orlando" and she said on air, she just had to make a little joke with a flirty wave of the hand and a cute little giggle.






Sunday, April 9, 2023

Racing From The Netherlands

 Saturday April 8:  Bluegrass Day at Keeneland

Yesterday, Saturday April 8 was a big day of racing with key prep races for the Kentucky Oaks and the Kentucky Derby.  My initial thought was to handicap Keeneland - with their Grade 1 Bluegrass as the feature, Aqueduct - with their Grade 2 Wood Memorial featured, and Santa Anita - with the featured Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby.  But once we were in Europe I was not nearly as interested in devoting that much time to racing while "on holiday."  So, I then decided I'd bet just a couple of the big races based on horses I was familiar with.  Finally, on Friday we had all afternoon off basically so I decided to handicap both the Keeneland and Aqueduct cards, and play a single race from Santa Anita.  You probably are wondering......if this all took place on Saturday April 8th, why is this part of the journal for Sunday April 9.  How many of you are clever enough to know the answer....raise your hand!  Well, it's because when racing began at around noon on Saturday it was dinner time here and by the time the big races were running it was after midnight (on April 9th for me) here in Europe.  So I didn't know how the races turned out until today!  I'd selected fourteen races that I was interested enough to place bets on through my TwinSpires account (using this platform for the spring-summer-fall after using Xpressbet for the winter meet where my rewards card is good AT Gulfstream).  In three of the first five races I'd made a selection I was my pick run 2nd.  11th and 5th in the other two, the latter the Grade 3 Gazelle at Aqueduct as a prep for the Kentucky Oaks where the winner was $55 payoff for a $2 bet - shades of the Gulfstream winter meet!  Is this how the spring & summer are going to go I wondered.  I was fifth in the Grade 3 Commonwealth at Keeneland after setting the pace through the opening half mile.  The sixth at Aqueduct was the Grade 3 Bayshore and my choice pressed the pace, got briefly to the front but was outfinished and ran fifth.  Back at Keeneland I ran a non-threatening fifth in the Grade 3 Appalachian on the turf for 3yo.  My first score of the day came with my BET of the DAY in the Grade 1 Madison at Keeneland which marked the return to racing of Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint champion Goodnight Olive.  It seemed clear to me that trainer Chad Brown had circled this date right after winning the World Championship prize that cinched the Eclipse Award for Best Female Sprinter.  Broke sharply but settled back off the dueling leaders to the turn.  Shifted three-wide into the clear on the turn and inhaled the front runners to open a clear lead turning for home.  Drove home while holding the closing runner-up safe with my big bet on board and I had my first winner of the spring season!

By the time my next selection was heading to the gate I was fast asleep after 11 pm Europe time.  So I went to bed with nine races in the books and a single win (at least it was the BEST of the Day), three seconds and a third.  A less than auspicious start to the spring season.  We were up around 7 am Europe time (which would be 1 am EST) and the first thing I did was check the Florida Panthers score - won for the SIXTH straight time and with two games remaining are in control of our own destiny to make the Stanley Cup playoffs.  It just may come down to the final game on Thursday which will be home, on the day we arrive.  We have plans to go directly from the airport to the game!  At any rate the second thing I did was check the racing results.  Next on the sheet was the 9th from Aqueduct, an entry level turf event.  Veronica Green from the Chad Brown barn was my pick.  These kind of allowance races are difficult to win, but the prototype of the most common winners is one that won their maiden early and then have a good effort against winners.  'Veronica had been a just miss 2nd in her turf debut (after two "ok" dirt sprints), then won decisively.  Her first try against winners had been a sharp try 3rd in the Winter Memories Stakes behind a filly that exited to run well in a Grade 1 out west.  Made her on the turn some four wide....five wide into the lane and drew off through the final 16th for my 2nd win.


Next up was the big one at Keeneland, the Grade 1 Bluegrass, a key Kentucky Derby prep.  Todd Pletcher's Taprit Twice has looked very sharp in an allowance win and then in the Grade 2 Tampa Bay Derby.  But (a) his speed figures didn't give him a decisive edge and he's got a habit of starting slowly and rallying from far back.  I felt he was clearly the one to beat but didn't have enough of an edge to make him more than a minimum bet.  Moved early to reach fourth heading into the far turn.  Collared the leader turning for home and the two dueled the length of the stretch before edging clear late to score for my third victory in a row!

The tenth at Keeneland was another entry level allowance, this one a six furlong sprint for 3yo.  Nearly always when a thoroughbred wins at first asking, going wire-to-wire and draws off impressively they are over bet in their first try against winners.  Facing pace pressure and a faster early pace almost always does them in unless they are very talented.  Such appeared, at first glance to be the case with Brad Cox's Squire Creek who'd drawn off impressively at the Fair Grounds with a stakes-like speed figure of 89.  I was debating about the bet when I read the DRF analysis and the handicapper noted that trainer Cox was 13/9-1-0 with second time starters in a dirt sprint....and he'd won five straight like that of late.  And over the last two years he was 5/3-1-0 with that kind of runner here in Lexington.  Right to the front to a daylight lead and held the field safe by a little more than a length under the wire....make it four in a row!

Finally missed when Dreamlike ran 3rd in the Grade 2 Wood Memorial for 3yo on the Derby trail.  Closed out the day with the Grade 1 Santa Anita Oaks.  Interestingly, this race - because it was out west went off at nearly 8:30 EST which was 2:30 am here in Europe.  Bob Baffert's Fazia was unbeaten in four straight starts, but her Beyer figures were not anything special.  Still, she apparently just loves to win.  Tracked the leaders to the far turn, swept to the front and turning for home opened up to win by nearly a pole while under wraps.  She's on her way to the Kentucky Oaks for sure!

So for the first day of the Spring season I was 5-for-14, an excellent 35% but I had fallen short of breaking even by $1.50.  BUT WAIT......now that I'm using TwinSpires for my online betting, they often offer promotions with a money-back if you run 2nd or 3rd.  Such was the case with most of the stakes races around the country today.  In both the Grade 3 Bayshore at Aqueduct and the Grade 2 Wood at Aqueduct my horses qualified (3rd in both) - so I got my money back!  So the final stats for the day saw me CASH tickets in 7-of-14 selections, a superb, 50% and showed a flat bet profit of a little under $10 on the day!  WHOOO HOOO.

There are some good races at Keeneland next Saturday so I'll have some bets as we now look forward to the first Saturday in May!



Social Media this week.....

Even though I was in Europe I was still in touch with some of my gal-pals on social media.  One of the great things about social media for sure.  Channel 10 morning anchor Jayce Birch always shares her fashion and often will comment back when I remark about her sharp looks.  Noting that I was admiring her outfit from the Netherlands drew a reply.

And I had two separate conversations with gal-pal Kimmy who was in San Francisco via text while sailing through Europe this week.